1
46%
Home Win
2.19
X
26%
Draw
3.83
2
28%
Away Win
3.54
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Truiden an expected 1.5 goals and Gent an expected 1.1 goals. St. Truiden have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Gent at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
1:0
11.4%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
8.5%
2:0
8.3%
0:0
7.8%
1:2
6.8%
2:2
4.9%
0:2
4.6%
3:1
4.4%
3:0
4.1%
1:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | St. Truiden Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| St. Truiden | Gent | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 4 |
| 29 | Points | 24 |
| 58% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.61 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
Venue Form
St. Truiden at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Gent Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
St. Truiden
W
W
W
Gent
W
L
D
