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St. Louis City SC vs San Diego — Prediction

St. Louis City SC St. Louis City SC
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Major League Soccer
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
San Diego San Diego

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Major League Soccer
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

St. Louis City SC
  • St. Louis City SC 2–3 Portland Timbers
  • Real Salt Lake 3–0 St. Louis City SC
  • St. Louis City SC 3–1 Toronto FC
  • St. Louis City SC 4–2 Minnesota United
  • Portland Timbers 2–2 St. Louis City SC
San Diego
  • Vancouver Whitecaps 4–1 San Diego
  • San Diego 2–2 Seattle Sounders
  • Austin 3–3 San Diego
  • San Diego 0–5 Philadelphia Union
  • San Diego 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: St. Louis City SC 34 · San Diego 34. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: San Diego 44% · 2026-10-31 02:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 21%
Home Win 4.74
X 22%
Draw 4.65
2 57%
Away Win 1.74
Model goal expectation · 1 1.13
Model goal expectation · 2 2.00
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
BTTS 59%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: St. Louis City SC 1.13 · San Diego 2.00.
1 21% · X 22% · 2 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 9.9%
1:2 9.9%
0:1 8.8%
0:2 8.7%
1:3 6.6%
0:3 5.8%
2:1 5.6%
2:2 5.6%
1:0 5%
0:0 4.4%
2:3 3.7%
1:4 3.3%

About this assessment

Model outcome San Diego Win
Probability 57%
Predicted Odds 1.75

Team Comparison

St. Louis City SC San Diego
13 League Position 1
32 Points 63
24% Win % 56%
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21

Venue Form

St. Louis City SC at Home
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate
San Diego Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

St. Louis City SC
L L W W D
San Diego
L D D L L

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