1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.32
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Louis City SC an expected 1.3 goals and Portland Timbers an expected 1.3 goals. St. Louis City SC have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Portland Timbers at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
1:0
9.8%
0:1
9.5%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
8%
0:0
7.4%
2:0
6.5%
0:2
6.1%
2:2
5.3%
3:1
3.7%
1:3
3.4%
3:0
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | St. Louis City SC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| St. Louis City SC | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 8 |
| 32 | Points | 44 |
| 24% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
St. Louis City SC at Home
W4
D0
L1
(5 games)
Portland Timbers Away
W2
D0
L4
(6 games)
Recent Form
St. Louis City SC
W
W
W
W
L
Portland Timbers
L
L
W
L
W
