1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
2.45
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sporting Kansas City an expected 1.2 goals and Los Angeles FC an expected 2.4 goals. Sporting Kansas City have a 16% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Los Angeles FC at 66%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.4%
0:2
8.2%
1:1
7.7%
1:3
7.7%
0:1
6.7%
0:3
6.7%
2:2
5.4%
1:4
4.7%
2:1
4.4%
2:3
4.4%
0:4
4.1%
1:0
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Los Angeles FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| Sporting Kansas City | Los Angeles FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 3 |
| 28 | Points | 60 |
| 21% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.91 |
| 2.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Sporting Kansas City at Home
W3
D1
L2
(6 games)
Los Angeles FC Away
W3
D2
L4
(9 games)
Recent Form
Sporting Kansas City
L
L
W
W
D
Los Angeles FC
L
L
D
W
L
