1
38%
Home Win
2.61
X
23%
Draw
4.29
2
38%
Away Win
2.6
xG Home
1.61
xG Away
1.62
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
64%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sporting Kansas City an expected 1.6 goals and Houston Dynamo an expected 1.6 goals. Sporting Kansas City have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Houston Dynamo at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
1:2
8.3%
2:1
8.3%
2:2
6.7%
0:1
6.4%
1:0
6.4%
0:2
5.2%
2:0
5.1%
1:3
4.5%
3:1
4.5%
0:0
3.9%
2:3
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Houston Dynamo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Sporting Kansas City | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 12 |
| 28 | Points | 37 |
| 21% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 2.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
Venue Form
Sporting Kansas City at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Houston Dynamo Away
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Sporting Kansas City
L
W
W
D
W
Houston Dynamo
L
L
W
L
W
Head to Head
Sporting Kansas City
0 : 0
Houston Dynamo
D
Houston Dynamo
1 : 3
Sporting Kansas City
W
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2
Houston Dynamo
W
