1
67%
Home Win
1.5
X
17%
Draw
5.78
2
16%
Away Win
6.29
xG Home
2.55
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
BTTS
64%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Seattle Sounders an expected 2.5 goals and Sporting Kansas City an expected 1.2 goals. Seattle Sounders have a 67% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Sporting Kansas City at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 72%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.2%
3:1
7.8%
2:0
7.8%
1:1
7.2%
3:0
6.6%
1:0
6.1%
2:2
5.5%
4:1
5%
3:2
4.6%
1:2
4.3%
4:0
4.2%
4:2
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Seattle Sounders Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 67% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.49 |
| Market Odds | 1.59 |
Team Comparison
| Seattle Sounders | Sporting Kansas City | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 15 |
| 55 | Points | 28 |
| 44% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.06 |
Venue Form
Seattle Sounders at Home
W5
D2
L1
(8 games)
Sporting Kansas City Away
W1
D0
L6
(7 games)
Recent Form
Seattle Sounders
W
W
D
L
W
Sporting Kansas City
W
L
L
L
L