Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Major League Soccer
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Major League Soccer
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Sporting Kansas City
  • Minnesota United 3–1 Sporting Kansas City
  • Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Austin
  • Seattle Sounders 2–1 Sporting Kansas City
  • Houston Dynamo 0–2 Sporting Kansas City
  • Sporting Kansas City 3–4 Philadelphia Union
FC Dallas
  • FC Dallas 0–2 Columbus Crew
  • FC Dallas 3–0 San Jose Earthquakes
  • FC Dallas 1–0 Los Angeles FC
  • FC Dallas 0–0 Austin
  • FC Dallas 2–1 Portland Timbers
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Sporting Kansas City 34 · FC Dallas 34. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Sporting Kansas City 40% · 2026-10-31 02:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.59
Model goal expectation · 2 1.96
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
BTTS 68%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Sporting Kansas City 1.59 · FC Dallas 1.96.
1 32% · X 22% · 2 47%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 9%
1:2 8.8%
2:1 7.1%
2:2 7%
1:3 5.7%
0:1 5.7%
0:2 5.5%
1:0 4.6%
2:3 4.5%
3:1 3.8%
3:2 3.7%
2:0 3.6%

About this assessment

Model outcome FC Dallas Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Sporting Kansas City FC Dallas
15 League Position 7
28 Points 44
21% Win % 32%
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
2.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62

Venue Form

Sporting Kansas City at Home
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Sporting Kansas City
L L L W L
FC Dallas
L W W D W

Head to Head

06 Sep 2026 mls
FC Dallas 4 : 3 Sporting Kansas City
L