1
50%
Home Win
2.01
X
25%
Draw
4.02
2
25%
Away Win
3.93
xG Home
1.61
xG Away
1.08
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sonderjyske an expected 1.6 goals and FC Nordsjaelland an expected 1.1 goals. Sonderjyske have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and FC Nordsjaelland at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
1:0
11%
2:1
9.5%
2:0
8.8%
0:1
7.4%
0:0
6.8%
1:2
6.4%
2:2
5.1%
3:1
5.1%
3:0
4.7%
0:2
4%
3:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sonderjyske Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Sonderjyske | FC Nordsjaelland | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 6 |
| 36 | Points | 31 |
| 45% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.77 |
Venue Form
Sonderjyske at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
FC Nordsjaelland Away
W0
D3
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sonderjyske
L
W
L
FC Nordsjaelland
D
D
L
D
