1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.00
xG Away
1.90
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sonderjyske an expected 1.0 goals and FC Midtjylland an expected 1.9 goals. Sonderjyske have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and FC Midtjylland at 59%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
10.5%
1:1
10.4%
0:2
10%
1:2
9.9%
0:3
6.3%
1:3
6.3%
0:0
5.5%
1:0
5.5%
2:1
5.2%
2:2
4.9%
2:3
3.1%
0:4
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Midtjylland Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Sonderjyske | FC Midtjylland | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 2 |
| 44 | Points | 60 |
| 38% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.25 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
Venue Form
Sonderjyske at Home
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
FC Midtjylland Away
W2
D3
L0
(5 games)
Recent Form
Sonderjyske
W
L
L
W
L
FC Midtjylland
D
W
D
D
W
Head to Head
Sonderjyske
1 : 2
FC Midtjylland
W
FC Midtjylland
2 : 2
Sonderjyske
D
Sonderjyske
3 : 6
FC Midtjylland
W
