1
21%
Home Win
4.74
X
24%
Draw
4.15
2
55%
Away Win
1.83
xG Home
0.95
xG Away
1.69
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sonderjyske an expected 0.9 goals and FC Midtjylland an expected 1.7 goals. Sonderjyske have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and FC Midtjylland at 55%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
12.1%
1:1
11.5%
0:2
10.2%
1:2
9.7%
0:0
7.2%
1:0
6.8%
0:3
5.7%
1:3
5.4%
2:1
5.4%
2:2
4.6%
2:0
3.2%
2:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Midtjylland Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Sonderjyske | FC Midtjylland | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 36 | Points | 46 |
| 45% | Win % | 59% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.64 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Sonderjyske at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
FC Midtjylland Away
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sonderjyske
L
W
L
FC Midtjylland
W
D
D
W
Head to Head
Sonderjyske
1 : 2
FC Midtjylland
W
FC Midtjylland
2 : 2
Sonderjyske
D
Sonderjyske
3 : 6
FC Midtjylland
W
