1
34%
Home Win
2.98
X
23%
Draw
4.27
2
43%
Away Win
2.32
xG Home
1.47
xG Away
1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sirius an expected 1.5 goals and Malmö FF an expected 1.7 goals. Sirius have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Malmö FF at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.5%
1:2
8.9%
2:1
7.7%
0:1
7.1%
2:2
6.6%
1:0
6.2%
0:2
6%
1:3
5%
2:0
4.6%
0:0
4.2%
3:1
3.8%
2:3
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Malmö FF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Sirius | Malmö FF | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 6 |
| 39 | Points | 49 |
| 37% | Win % | 43% |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
Sirius at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Malmö FF Away
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Sirius
D
W
W
W
Malmö FF
D
W
L
W
W
