1
62%
Home Win
1.61
X
19%
Draw
5.24
2
19%
Away Win
5.32
xG Home
2.32
xG Away
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sirius an expected 2.3 goals and Degerfors IF an expected 1.2 goals. Sirius have a 62% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Degerfors IF at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.5%
1:1
8.2%
2:0
7.8%
3:1
7.4%
1:0
6.7%
3:0
6.1%
2:2
5.8%
1:2
5%
3:2
4.5%
4:1
4.3%
0:1
3.5%
4:0
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sirius Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| Sirius | Degerfors IF | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 13 |
| 39 | Points | 30 |
| 37% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.73 |
Venue Form
Sirius at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Degerfors IF Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Sirius
D
W
W
W
Degerfors IF
L
L
D
