1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.58
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Hammarby FF an expected 2.6 goals and Sirius an expected 1.1 goals. Hammarby FF have a 69% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Sirius at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.2%
2:0
8.3%
3:1
7.9%
1:1
7.1%
3:0
7.1%
1:0
6.4%
2:2
5.1%
4:1
5.1%
4:0
4.6%
3:2
4.4%
1:2
4%
4:2
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Hammarby FF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 69% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.45 |
| Market Odds | 1.54 |
Team Comparison
| Hammarby FF | Sirius | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 9 |
| 62 | Points | 39 |
| 63% | Win % | 37% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.77 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
Venue Form
Hammarby FF at Home
W6
D1
L0
(7 games)
Sirius Away
W7
D1
L1
(9 games)
Recent Form
Hammarby FF
W
W
W
W
D
Sirius
W
W
W
W
W
