1
35%
Home Win
2.83
X
25%
Draw
3.93
2
39%
Away Win
2.55
xG Home
1.34
xG Away
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.3 goals and Qingdao Youth Island an expected 1.4 goals. Sichuan Jiuniu have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Qingdao Youth Island at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
0:1
9%
1:2
8.6%
1:0
8.4%
2:1
8.1%
0:2
6.4%
0:0
6.3%
2:2
5.7%
2:0
5.7%
1:3
4.1%
3:1
3.6%
0:3
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Qingdao Youth Island Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Qingdao Youth Island | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 5 |
| 17 | Points | 24 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Sichuan Jiuniu at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Qingdao Youth Island Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
W
Qingdao Youth Island
W
