1
33%
Home Win
3
X
28%
Draw
3.58
2
39%
Away Win
2.58
xG Home
1.12
xG Away
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.1 goals and Qingdao Youth Island an expected 1.2 goals. Sichuan Jiuniu have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Qingdao Youth Island at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
0:1
11.7%
1:0
10.6%
0:0
9.5%
1:2
8.1%
2:1
7.4%
0:2
7.2%
2:0
6%
2:2
4.5%
1:3
3.3%
0:3
3%
3:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Qingdao Youth Island Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Qingdao Youth Island | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 5 |
| 28 | Points | 38 |
| 31% | Win % | 31% |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.19 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
Venue Form
Sichuan Jiuniu at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Qingdao Youth Island Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
W
Qingdao Youth Island
D
W
Head to Head
Qingdao Youth Island
1 : 0
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
Sichuan Jiuniu
1 : 2
Qingdao Youth Island
W
Qingdao Youth Island
0 : 0
Sichuan Jiuniu
D