1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.84
xG Away
1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shenyang Urban an expected 1.8 goals and Wuhan Three Towns an expected 1.6 goals. Shenyang Urban have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Wuhan Three Towns at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.4%
2:1
8.7%
1:2
7.6%
2:2
7%
1:0
5.9%
2:0
5.4%
3:1
5.3%
0:1
5.1%
3:2
4.3%
0:2
4.1%
1:3
4%
2:3
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shenyang Urban Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Shenyang Urban | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 15 |
| 29 | Points | 22 |
| 28% | Win % | 17% |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.9 |
Venue Form
Shenyang Urban at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Wuhan Three Towns Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Shenyang Urban
L
W
L
Wuhan Three Towns
L
L
L