1
50%
Home Win
2.02
X
23%
Draw
4.38
2
28%
Away Win
3.63
xG Home
1.83
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shenyang Urban an expected 1.8 goals and Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.3 goals. Shenyang Urban have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Sichuan Jiuniu at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.4%
2:1
9.5%
1:0
7.9%
2:0
7.2%
1:2
6.8%
2:2
6.2%
3:1
5.8%
0:1
5.7%
3:0
4.4%
0:0
4.3%
3:2
3.8%
0:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shenyang Urban Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Shenyang Urban | Sichuan Jiuniu | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 10 |
| 24 | Points | 23 |
| 35% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.86 |
Venue Form
Shenyang Urban at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Sichuan Jiuniu Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Shenyang Urban
W
L
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
L
L
