1
35%
Home Win
2.86
X
25%
Draw
3.97
2
40%
Away Win
2.51
xG Home
1.35
xG Away
1.46
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shenyang Urban an expected 1.3 goals and SHANGHAI SIPG an expected 1.5 goals. Shenyang Urban have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and SHANGHAI SIPG at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.9%
0:1
8.8%
1:2
8.7%
1:0
8.2%
2:1
8%
0:2
6.4%
0:0
6.1%
2:2
5.8%
2:0
5.5%
1:3
4.2%
3:1
3.6%
0:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shenyang Urban Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Shenyang Urban | SHANGHAI SIPG | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 13 |
| 17 | Points | 12 |
| 33% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |