1
36%
Home Win
2.79
X
27%
Draw
3.68
2
37%
Away Win
2.7
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shenyang Urban an expected 1.2 goals and Henan FC an expected 1.3 goals. Shenyang Urban have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Henan FC at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
0:1
10.5%
1:0
10.3%
0:0
8.4%
1:2
8.1%
2:1
7.9%
0:2
6.6%
2:0
6.3%
2:2
4.9%
1:3
3.4%
3:1
3.2%
0:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Henan FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Shenyang Urban | Henan FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 11 |
| 24 | Points | 22 |
| 35% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
Venue Form
Shenyang Urban at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Henan FC Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Shenyang Urban
W
L
Henan FC
L
