1
36%
Home Win
2.74
X
28%
Draw
3.53
2
35%
Away Win
2.84
xG Home
1.17
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shenyang Urban an expected 1.2 goals and Chongqing Tongliang Long an expected 1.1 goals. Shenyang Urban have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Chongqing Tongliang Long at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.2%
1:0
11.6%
0:1
11.3%
0:0
9.9%
2:1
7.7%
1:2
7.6%
2:0
6.8%
0:2
6.5%
2:2
4.4%
3:1
3%
1:3
2.9%
3:0
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chongqing Tongliang Long Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Shenyang Urban | Chongqing Tongliang Long | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 9 |
| 25 | Points | 31 |
| 28% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 1.84 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
Venue Form
Shenyang Urban at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Shenyang Urban
W
L
Chongqing Tongliang Long
L
Head to Head
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1 : 0
Shenyang Urban
L
Shenyang Urban
4 : 2
Chongqing Tongliang Long
L
Chongqing Tongliang Long
2 : 1
Shenyang Urban
L