Sheffield United vs Wrexham Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 30 Oct 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.68
xG Away 1.53
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
BTTS 64%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Sheffield United an expected 1.7 goals and Wrexham an expected 1.5 goals. Sheffield United have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Wrexham at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.4%
2:1 8.7%
1:2 7.9%
1:0 6.8%
2:2 6.7%
0:1 6.2%
2:0 5.7%
3:1 4.9%
0:2 4.7%
1:3 4%
0:0 4%
3:2 3.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Sheffield United Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38
Market Odds 2.53

Team Comparison

Sheffield United Wrexham
13 League Position 7
60 Points 71
39% Win % 41%
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41

Venue Form

Sheffield United at Home
W0 D1 L4 (5 games)
0% win rate
Wrexham Away
W1 D1 L3 (5 games)
20% win rate

Recent Form

Sheffield United
D L L L L
Wrexham
L L D L W