1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.70
xG Away
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives SHANGHAI SIPG an expected 1.7 goals and Shandong Luneng an expected 1.3 goals. SHANGHAI SIPG have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Shandong Luneng at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.1%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
8.8%
2:0
7.5%
1:2
7%
0:1
6.5%
2:2
5.9%
3:1
5.3%
0:0
5.2%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SHANGHAI SIPG Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Venue Form
SHANGHAI SIPG at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Shandong Luneng Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
SHANGHAI SIPG
L
W
Shandong Luneng
W
L
Head to Head
Shandong Luneng
1 : 1
SHANGHAI SIPG
D
Shandong Luneng
3 : 1
SHANGHAI SIPG
L
SHANGHAI SIPG
1 : 1
Shandong Luneng
D