1
48%
Home Win
2.1
X
24%
Draw
4.15
2
28%
Away Win
3.53
xG Home
1.67
xG Away
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives SHANGHAI SIPG an expected 1.7 goals and Shandong Luneng an expected 1.2 goals. SHANGHAI SIPG have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Shandong Luneng at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.3%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
9.1%
2:0
7.6%
1:2
7%
0:1
6.8%
2:2
5.8%
0:0
5.5%
3:1
5.2%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
4.2%
3:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SHANGHAI SIPG Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Venue Form
SHANGHAI SIPG at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Shandong Luneng Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
SHANGHAI SIPG
L
W
Shandong Luneng
W
L
