1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
3.09
xG Away
1.99
Over 2.5 Goals
88%
BTTS
82%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shanghai Shenhua an expected 3.1 goals and Yunnan Yukun an expected 2.0 goals. Shanghai Shenhua have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Yunnan Yukun at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 88%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:1
6.1%
3:2
6.1%
2:1
5.9%
2:2
5.9%
4:1
4.7%
4:2
4.7%
3:3
4%
2:3
3.9%
1:1
3.8%
1:2
3.8%
4:3
3.1%
3:0
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shanghai Shenhua Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Shanghai Shenhua | Yunnan Yukun | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 6 |
| 37 | Points | 40 |
| 48% | Win % | 38% |
| 2.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.97 |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.07 |
Venue Form
Shanghai Shenhua at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Yunnan Yukun Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Shanghai Shenhua
L
W
Yunnan Yukun
D
L
D