1
48%
Home Win
2.09
X
20%
Draw
4.94
2
32%
Away Win
3.15
xG Home
2.22
xG Away
1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
BTTS
74%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shanghai Shenhua an expected 2.2 goals and Shandong Taishan an expected 1.8 goals. Shanghai Shenhua have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Shandong Taishan at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 77%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8%
2:2
7.2%
1:1
7.1%
1:2
6.4%
3:1
5.9%
3:2
5.3%
2:0
4.4%
2:3
4.3%
1:0
4%
1:3
3.9%
4:1
3.3%
3:0
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shanghai Shenhua Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Shanghai Shenhua | Shandong Taishan | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 7 |
| 19 | Points | 27 |
| 40% | Win % | 48% |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
Venue Form
Shanghai Shenhua at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Shandong Taishan Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Shanghai Shenhua
L
W
Shandong Taishan
L
L
W
L
