1
44%
Home Win
2.25
X
24%
Draw
4.13
2
31%
Away Win
3.18
xG Home
1.62
xG Away
1.33
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shanghai Shenhua an expected 1.6 goals and Henan FC an expected 1.3 goals. Shanghai Shenhua have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Henan FC at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.3%
2:1
9.1%
1:0
8.5%
1:2
7.5%
0:1
6.9%
2:0
6.9%
2:2
6.1%
0:0
5.2%
3:1
4.9%
0:2
4.6%
3:0
3.7%
1:3
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shanghai Shenhua Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Shanghai Shenhua | Henan FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 11 |
| 19 | Points | 22 |
| 40% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
Venue Form
Shanghai Shenhua at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Henan FC Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Shanghai Shenhua
L
W
Henan FC
L
