1
47%
Home Win
2.13
X
21%
Draw
4.68
2
32%
Away Win
3.16
xG Home
2.02
xG Away
1.64
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
70%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shanghai Shenhua an expected 2.0 goals and Beijing Guoan an expected 1.6 goals. Shanghai Shenhua have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Beijing Guoan at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.6%
1:1
8.5%
2:2
7.1%
1:2
7%
3:1
5.8%
2:0
5.3%
1:0
5.2%
3:2
4.7%
0:1
4.2%
2:3
3.8%
1:3
3.8%
3:0
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shanghai Shenhua Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Shanghai Shenhua | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 6 |
| 19 | Points | 21 |
| 47% | Win % | 41% |
| 2.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
Shanghai Shenhua at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Beijing Guoan Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Shanghai Shenhua
W
Beijing Guoan
W
