1
46%
Home Win
2.19
X
21%
Draw
4.84
2
34%
Away Win
2.97
xG Home
2.12
xG Away
1.81
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
BTTS
74%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shandong Taishan an expected 2.1 goals and Yunnan Yukun an expected 1.8 goals. Shandong Taishan have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Yunnan Yukun at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 75%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8%
1:1
7.5%
2:2
7.2%
1:2
6.8%
3:1
5.6%
3:2
5.1%
2:0
4.4%
2:3
4.4%
1:0
4.1%
1:3
4.1%
0:1
3.5%
0:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shandong Taishan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Shandong Taishan | Yunnan Yukun | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 4 |
| 21 | Points | 24 |
| 47% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
Venue Form
Yunnan Yukun Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Yunnan Yukun
L
D