1
47%
Home Win
2.13
X
19%
Draw
5.2
2
34%
Away Win
2.97
xG Home
2.42
xG Away
2.05
Over 2.5 Goals
82%
BTTS
79%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shandong Taishan an expected 2.4 goals and Yunnan Yukun an expected 2.1 goals. Shandong Taishan have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Yunnan Yukun at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 82%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:2
7%
2:1
6.9%
1:2
5.8%
3:2
5.7%
1:1
5.7%
3:1
5.5%
2:3
4.8%
1:3
4%
3:3
3.9%
4:2
3.4%
4:1
3.3%
2:0
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shandong Taishan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Shandong Taishan | Yunnan Yukun | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 4 |
| 37 | Points | 38 |
| 50% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.08 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.96 |
Venue Form
Shandong Taishan at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Yunnan Yukun Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Shandong Taishan
D
Yunnan Yukun
L
D