1
57%
Home Win
1.75
X
19%
Draw
5.22
2
23%
Away Win
4.26
xG Home
2.41
xG Away
1.51
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
BTTS
71%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shandong Taishan an expected 2.4 goals and Wuhan Three Towns an expected 1.5 goals. Shandong Taishan have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Wuhan Three Towns at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 75%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.7%
1:1
7.2%
3:1
7%
2:2
6.6%
2:0
5.7%
1:2
5.5%
3:2
5.3%
1:0
4.8%
3:0
4.6%
4:1
4.2%
2:3
3.3%
4:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shandong Taishan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Shandong Taishan | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 15 |
| 18 | Points | 8 |
| 47% | Win % | 13% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |