1
38%
Home Win
2.66
X
24%
Draw
4.1
2
38%
Away Win
2.63
xG Home
1.48
xG Away
1.50
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shandong Taishan an expected 1.5 goals and Tianjin Teda an expected 1.5 goals. Shandong Taishan have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Tianjin Teda at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.3%
1:2
8.4%
2:1
8.4%
0:1
7.6%
1:0
7.5%
2:2
6.3%
0:2
5.7%
2:0
5.6%
0:0
5.1%
1:3
4.2%
3:1
4.1%
2:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shandong Taishan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Shandong Taishan | Tianjin Teda | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 14 |
| 27 | Points | 17 |
| 48% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
Venue Form
Tianjin Teda Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Tianjin Teda
W
L