Shandong Luneng vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 24 May 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.70
xG Away 1.26
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Shandong Luneng an expected 1.7 goals and Wuhan Three Towns an expected 1.3 goals. Shandong Luneng have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Wuhan Three Towns at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.1%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 8.8%
2:0 7.5%
1:2 7%
0:1 6.5%
2:2 5.9%
3:1 5.3%
0:0 5.2%
3:0 4.2%
0:2 4.1%
3:2 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Shandong Luneng Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Shandong Luneng at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
Wuhan Three Towns Away
W0 D3 L0 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Shandong Luneng
L D W
Wuhan Three Towns
D D D

Head to Head

22 Nov 2025 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns 1 : 5 Shandong Luneng
W
25 Jun 2025 Super League
Shandong Luneng 3 : 1 Wuhan Three Towns
W
21 Sep 2024 Super League
Shandong Luneng 0 : 0 Wuhan Three Towns
D