1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.70
xG Away
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shandong Luneng an expected 1.7 goals and Henan Jianye an expected 1.3 goals. Shandong Luneng have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Henan Jianye at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.1%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
8.8%
2:0
7.5%
1:2
7%
0:1
6.5%
2:2
5.9%
3:1
5.3%
0:0
5.2%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shandong Luneng Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Venue Form
Shandong Luneng at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Henan Jianye Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Shandong Luneng
L
D
W
Henan Jianye
W
W
Head to Head
Henan Jianye
0 : 1
Shandong Luneng
W
Henan Jianye
2 : 2
Shandong Luneng
D
Shandong Luneng
0 : 0
Henan Jianye
D