1
92%
Home Win
1.08
X
5%
Draw
18.59
2
1%
Away Win
78.74
xG Home
3.48
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
BTTS
25%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Senegal an expected 3.5 goals and Sudan an expected 0.3 goals. Senegal have a 92% win probability, draw stands at 5%, and Sudan at 1%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 72%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
16%
4:0
13.9%
2:0
13.8%
1:0
8%
3:1
4.8%
4:1
4.2%
2:1
4.2%
1:1
2.4%
0:0
2.3%
3:2
0.7%
0:1
0.7%
4:2
0.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Senegal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Senegal | Sudan | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 3 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.33 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Head to Head
Senegal
2 : 0
Sudan
W
Sudan
1 : 1
Senegal
D
Sudan
0 : 0
Senegal
D