1
35%
Home Win
2.85
X
42%
Draw
2.41
2
23%
Away Win
4.28
xG Home
0.70
xG Away
0.51
Over 2.5 Goals
12%
BTTS
20%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Senegal an expected 0.7 goals and Morocco an expected 0.5 goals. Senegal have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 42%, and Morocco at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 88%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
29.9%
1:0
20.8%
0:1
15.3%
1:1
10.6%
2:0
7.2%
0:2
3.9%
2:1
3.7%
1:2
2.7%
3:0
1.7%
2:2
0.9%
3:1
0.9%
0:3
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Morocco Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Senegal | Morocco | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 1 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
Head to Head
Morocco
1 : 1
Senegal
D
Morocco
3 : 1
Senegal
L