Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers Prediction

Live Match Centre & Lineups ›
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 17 Jul 2026 · Major League Soccer
1 47%
Home Win 2.12
X 24%
Draw 4.09
2 28%
Away Win 3.53
xG Home 1.63
xG Away 1.21
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Seattle Sounders an expected 1.6 goals and Portland Timbers an expected 1.2 goals. Seattle Sounders have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Portland Timbers at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.5%
1:0 9.5%
2:1 9.4%
2:0 7.8%
0:1 7.1%
1:2 7%
0:0 5.9%
2:2 5.7%
3:1 5.1%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Seattle Sounders Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Seattle Sounders at Home
W3 D1 L1 (5 games)
60% win rate
Portland Timbers Away
W2 D0 L2 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Seattle Sounders
L W D W W
Portland Timbers
W L W L

Head to Head

05 Oct 2025 Major League Soccer
Seattle Sounders 1 : 0 Portland Timbers
L
18 May 2025 Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers 1 : 1 Seattle Sounders
D
20 Oct 2024 Major League Soccer
Seattle Sounders 1 : 1 Portland Timbers
D