Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

2 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 29 Oct 2026 · Major League Soccer
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 2.04
xG Away 1.11
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
BTTS 58%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Seattle Sounders an expected 2.0 goals and Houston Dynamo an expected 1.1 goals. Seattle Sounders have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Houston Dynamo at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 9.9%
1:1 9.7%
2:0 8.9%
1:0 8.8%
3:1 6.7%
3:0 6.1%
2:2 5.5%
1:2 5.4%
0:1 4.8%
0:0 4.3%
3:2 3.7%
4:1 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Seattle Sounders Win
Probability 59%
Predicted Odds 1.69
Market Odds 1.8

Team Comparison

Seattle Sounders Houston Dynamo
5 League Position 12
55 Points 37
44% Win % 26%
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65

Venue Form

Seattle Sounders at Home
W6 D2 L1 (9 games)
67% win rate
Houston Dynamo Away
W2 D0 L3 (5 games)
40% win rate

Recent Form

Seattle Sounders
W W W D L
Houston Dynamo
L L W L W