1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS
21%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Scotland an expected 0.3 goals and Morocco an expected 1.7 goals. Scotland have a 6% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Morocco at 72%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
23.4%
0:2
19.4%
0:0
14.2%
0:3
10.7%
1:1
7%
1:2
5.8%
0:4
4.4%
1:0
4.3%
1:3
3.2%
1:4
1.3%
2:1
1.1%
2:2
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Scotland Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Scotland | Morocco | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 3 | Points | 7 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |