1
5%
Home Win
20.41
X
18%
Draw
5.57
2
77%
Away Win
1.3
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
1.93
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
22%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Scotland an expected 0.3 goals and Brazil an expected 1.9 goals. Scotland have a 5% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Brazil at 77%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
20.8%
0:2
20%
0:3
12.9%
0:0
10.8%
1:1
6.2%
0:4
6.2%
1:2
6%
1:3
3.9%
1:0
3.2%
1:4
1.9%
2:1
0.9%
2:2
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brazil Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Scotland | Brazil | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 3 | Points | 7 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |