Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking Prediction

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Most Likely Score
Sun, 12 Jul 2026 · Eliteserien
1 19%
Home Win 5.39
X 18%
Draw 5.51
2 63%
Away Win 1.58
xG Home 1.30
xG Away 2.49
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
BTTS 67%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.3 goals and Viking an expected 2.5 goals. Sarpsborg 08 have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Viking at 63%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:2 9.1%
1:3 7.5%
1:1 7.3%
0:2 7%
2:2 5.9%
0:3 5.8%
0:1 5.6%
2:3 4.9%
2:1 4.8%
1:4 4.7%
0:4 3.6%
2:4 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Viking Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Sarpsborg 08 Viking
8 League Position 1
41 Points 71
37% Win % 73%
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.57
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2

Venue Form

Sarpsborg 08 at Home
W3 D1 L1 (5 games)
60% win rate
Viking Away
W3 D1 L1 (5 games)
60% win rate

Recent Form

Sarpsborg 08
D W W W L
Viking
D W L W W

Head to Head

01 Mar 2026 Friendlies Clubs
Viking 2 : 0 Sarpsborg 08 FF
L
27 Sep 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 FF 3 : 3 Viking
D
09 Jul 2025 NM Cupen
Sarpsborg 08 FF 1 : 0 Viking
L