1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.81
xG Away
1.59
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.8 goals and Vålerenga an expected 1.6 goals. Sarpsborg 08 have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Vålerenga at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.6%
2:1
8.7%
1:2
7.6%
2:2
6.9%
1:0
6%
2:0
5.5%
0:1
5.3%
3:1
5.3%
0:2
4.2%
3:2
4.2%
1:3
4%
2:3
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sarpsborg 08 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Sarpsborg 08 | Vålerenga | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 6 |
| 41 | Points | 43 |
| 37% | Win % | 43% |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Venue Form
Sarpsborg 08 at Home
W3
D1
L2
(6 games)
Vålerenga Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Sarpsborg 08
L
D
W
W
W
Vålerenga
D
W
L
L
L
