1
33%
Home Win
3.02
X
23%
Draw
4.37
2
44%
Away Win
2.27
xG Home
1.52
xG Away
1.78
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.5 goals and Sandefjord an expected 1.8 goals. Sarpsborg 08 have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Sandefjord at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10%
1:2
8.9%
2:1
7.6%
2:2
6.7%
0:1
6.6%
0:2
5.9%
1:0
5.6%
1:3
5.3%
2:0
4.3%
2:3
4%
3:1
3.8%
0:0
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sandefjord Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Sarpsborg 08 | Sandefjord | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 5 |
| 41 | Points | 48 |
| 37% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.83 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
Venue Form
Sarpsborg 08 at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Sandefjord Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Sarpsborg 08
W
W
W
L
Sandefjord
L
L
L
