1
40%
Home Win
2.48
X
25%
Draw
4
2
35%
Away Win
2.89
xG Home
1.48
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.5 goals and KFUM Oslo an expected 1.4 goals. Sarpsborg 08 have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and KFUM Oslo at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
2:1
8.7%
1:0
8.7%
1:2
8%
0:1
7.9%
2:0
6.4%
2:2
5.9%
0:0
5.9%
0:2
5.4%
3:1
4.3%
1:3
3.6%
3:0
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sarpsborg 08 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Sarpsborg 08 | KFUM Oslo | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 12 |
| 41 | Points | 35 |
| 37% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
Venue Form
Sarpsborg 08 at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
KFUM Oslo Away
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sarpsborg 08
D
W
W
W
L
KFUM Oslo
L
L
D
L