1
46%
Home Win
2.19
X
24%
Draw
4.22
2
31%
Away Win
3.26
xG Home
1.70
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.7 goals and HamKam an expected 1.4 goals. Sarpsborg 08 have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and HamKam at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
2:1
9.2%
1:0
8%
1:2
7.4%
2:0
6.8%
0:1
6.4%
2:2
6.3%
3:1
5.2%
0:0
4.7%
0:2
4.3%
3:0
3.9%
3:2
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sarpsborg 08 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Sarpsborg 08 | HamKam | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 11 |
| 41 | Points | 37 |
| 37% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
Venue Form
Sarpsborg 08 at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
HamKam Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sarpsborg 08
W
W
W
L
HamKam
L
L
D
D
