1
37%
Home Win
2.67
X
27%
Draw
3.7
2
36%
Away Win
2.81
xG Home
1.26
xG Away
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.3 goals and Fredrikstad an expected 1.2 goals. Sarpsborg 08 have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Fredrikstad at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
1:0
10.5%
0:1
10.2%
0:0
8.3%
2:1
8.1%
1:2
7.9%
2:0
6.6%
0:2
6.2%
2:2
5%
3:1
3.4%
1:3
3.2%
3:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sarpsborg 08 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Sarpsborg 08 | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 7 |
| 41 | Points | 42 |
| 37% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
Venue Form
Sarpsborg 08 at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Fredrikstad Away
W0
D0
L5
(5 games)
Recent Form
Sarpsborg 08
W
W
W
L
Fredrikstad
L
L
L
L
L
