1
41%
Home Win
2.44
X
28%
Draw
3.59
2
31%
Away Win
3.21
xG Home
1.27
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives São Paulo FC an expected 1.3 goals and Santos an expected 1.1 goals. São Paulo FC have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Santos at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
1:0
12.2%
0:1
10.3%
0:0
9.5%
2:1
8.3%
2:0
7.8%
1:2
7%
0:2
5.5%
2:2
4.5%
3:1
3.5%
3:0
3.3%
1:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | São Paulo FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| São Paulo FC | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 12 |
| 51 | Points | 47 |
| 37% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
São Paulo FC at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Santos Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
São Paulo FC
D
W
Santos
D
D
W
Head to Head
Santos
1 : 1
Sao Paulo
D
Sao Paulo
2 : 0
Santos
L
Santos
1 : 0
Sao Paulo
L
