1
26%
Home Win
3.81
X
27%
Draw
3.67
2
47%
Away Win
2.15
xG Home
0.97
xG Away
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives São Paulo FC an expected 1.0 goals and Botafogo an expected 1.4 goals. São Paulo FC have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Botafogo at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.2%
1:1
12.7%
0:0
9.5%
1:0
9.2%
0:2
9.1%
1:2
8.8%
2:1
6.2%
2:0
4.5%
2:2
4.3%
0:3
4.2%
1:3
4.1%
3:1
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Botafogo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| São Paulo FC | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 6 |
| 51 | Points | 63 |
| 37% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
São Paulo FC at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Botafogo Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
São Paulo FC
D
W
Botafogo
D
W
L
Head to Head
Sao Paulo
1 : 0
Botafogo
L
Botafogo
2 : 2
Sao Paulo
D
Botafogo
2 : 1
Sao Paulo
L