1
49%
Home Win
2.06
X
27%
Draw
3.65
2
24%
Away Win
4.15
xG Home
1.39
xG Away
0.89
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Santos an expected 1.4 goals and Vitoria an expected 0.9 goals. Santos have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Vitoria at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.2%
1:1
12.7%
0:0
10.3%
2:0
9.9%
0:1
9.1%
2:1
8.8%
1:2
5.6%
3:0
4.6%
3:1
4.1%
0:2
4.1%
2:2
3.9%
3:2
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Santos Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Santos | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 15 |
| 47 | Points | 45 |
| 32% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
Venue Form
Santos at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Vitoria Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Santos
W
L
Vitoria
D
L
Head to Head
Santos
0 : 1
Vitoria
W
Vitoria
0 : 1
Santos
W
Vitoria
0 : 1
Santos
W