1
25%
Home Win
4.06
X
25%
Draw
4.01
2
50%
Away Win
1.98
xG Home
1.04
xG Away
1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Santos an expected 1.0 goals and Mirassol an expected 1.6 goals. Santos have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Mirassol at 50%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.9%
0:1
11.4%
1:2
9.5%
0:2
9.1%
1:0
7.4%
0:0
7.1%
2:1
6.2%
1:3
5.1%
2:2
4.9%
0:3
4.9%
2:0
3.9%
2:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mirassol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Santos | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 4 |
| 47 | Points | 67 |
| 32% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.66 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
Santos at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Mirassol Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Santos
D
W
L
Mirassol
L
W