1
22%
Home Win
4.5
X
27%
Draw
3.65
2
50%
Away Win
1.99
xG Home
0.83
xG Away
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Santos an expected 0.8 goals and Cruzeiro an expected 1.4 goals. Santos have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Cruzeiro at 50%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15.1%
1:1
12.5%
0:0
10.8%
0:2
10.6%
1:0
8.9%
1:2
8.7%
2:1
5.2%
0:3
4.9%
1:3
4.1%
2:0
3.7%
2:2
3.6%
0:4
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruzeiro Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Santos | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 3 |
| 47 | Points | 70 |
| 32% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Santos at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Cruzeiro Away
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Santos
D
W
L
Cruzeiro
W
W
W
W
