San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Major League Soccer
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
Competition
Major League Soccer
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

San Jose Earthquakes
  • San Jose Earthquakes 2–2 Colorado Rapids
  • FC Dallas 3–0 San Jose Earthquakes
  • San Jose Earthquakes 3–1 Portland Timbers
  • San Jose Earthquakes 1–0 Houston Dynamo
  • San Diego 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes
Real Salt Lake
  • Austin 1–2 Real Salt Lake
  • Real Salt Lake 3–0 St. Louis City SC
  • Real Salt Lake 3–0 New England Revolution
  • Seattle Sounders 2–0 Real Salt Lake
  • Real Salt Lake 0–3 Vancouver Whitecaps
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: San Jose Earthquakes 34 · Real Salt Lake 34. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: San Jose Earthquakes 59% · 2026-10-31 02:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.84
Model goal expectation · 2 1.29
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
BTTS 61%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: San Jose Earthquakes 1.84 · Real Salt Lake 1.29.
1 50% · X 23% · 2 27%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.4%
2:1 9.6%
1:0 8.1%
2:0 7.4%
1:2 6.7%
2:2 6.1%
3:1 5.9%
0:1 5.6%
3:0 4.6%
0:0 4.4%
3:2 3.8%
0:2 3.6%

About this assessment

Model outcome San Jose Earthquakes Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2

Team Comparison

San Jose Earthquakes Real Salt Lake
10 League Position 9
41 Points 41
32% Win % 35%
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44

Venue Form

San Jose Earthquakes at Home
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate
Real Salt Lake Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

San Jose Earthquakes
D L W W W
Real Salt Lake
W W W L L