San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 26 Jul 2026 · Major League Soccer
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
1 47%
Home Win 2.12
X 24%
Draw 4.09
2 28%
Away Win 3.53
xG Home 1.63
xG Away 1.21
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives San Jose Earthquakes an expected 1.6 goals and Los Angeles Galaxy an expected 1.2 goals. San Jose Earthquakes have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Los Angeles Galaxy at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.5%
1:0 9.5%
2:1 9.4%
2:0 7.8%
0:1 7.1%
1:2 7%
0:0 5.9%
2:2 5.7%
3:1 5.1%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Los Angeles Galaxy Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

San Jose Earthquakes at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Los Angeles Galaxy Away
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

San Jose Earthquakes
D W
Los Angeles Galaxy
L W L D

Head to Head

29 Jun 2025 Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes 1 : 1 Los Angeles Galaxy
D
29 May 2025 Major League Soccer
Los Angeles Galaxy 0 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes
W
01 Aug 2024 Leagues Cup
San Jose Earthquakes 1 : 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
W