1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.11
xG Away
1.46
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives San Jose Earthquakes an expected 2.1 goals and Houston Dynamo an expected 1.5 goals. San Jose Earthquakes have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Houston Dynamo at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.2%
1:1
8.7%
2:2
6.7%
3:1
6.4%
1:2
6.3%
2:0
6.3%
1:0
6%
3:2
4.7%
3:0
4.4%
0:1
4.1%
4:1
3.4%
2:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | San Jose Earthquakes Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| San Jose Earthquakes | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 12 |
| 41 | Points | 37 |
| 32% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
Venue Form
San Jose Earthquakes at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Houston Dynamo Away
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
San Jose Earthquakes
W
W
D
W
Houston Dynamo
L
L
W
L
W
