San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids Prediction

2 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 29 Oct 2026 · Major League Soccer
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 2.11
xG Away 1.49
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
BTTS 68%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives San Jose Earthquakes an expected 2.1 goals and Colorado Rapids an expected 1.5 goals. San Jose Earthquakes have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Colorado Rapids at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 70%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 9.1%
1:1 8.6%
2:2 6.8%
1:2 6.4%
3:1 6.4%
2:0 6.1%
1:0 5.8%
3:2 4.7%
3:0 4.3%
0:1 4.1%
2:3 3.4%
4:1 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick San Jose Earthquakes Win
Probability 52%
Predicted Odds 1.92
Market Odds 2.05

Team Comparison

San Jose Earthquakes Colorado Rapids
10 League Position 11
41 Points 41
32% Win % 32%
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65

Venue Form

San Jose Earthquakes at Home
W3 D1 L0 (4 games)
75% win rate
Colorado Rapids Away
W1 D2 L3 (6 games)
17% win rate

Recent Form

San Jose Earthquakes
W W D W
Colorado Rapids
L D W L L